Science Advances

Global biosphere productivity response to Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation collapse during Heinrich Stadial 4

2026-07-15

The slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) due to ongoing climate change raises concerns about its impact on the global carbon cycle. Understanding how global biosphere productivity may respond to such changes is essential for predicting the future carbon cycle, yet quantifying past global biosphere productivity remains challenging. We use triple isotope composition of air oxygen ( 17 Δ) trapped in polar ice cores to reconstruct the global biosphere productivity over the period 40.5 to 38.6 thousand years before the present (ka B.P.), covering Heinrich Stadial 4, a period of weakened AMOC. Our data reveal a slight increase in productivity following a carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) rise around 39.5 ka B.P. Freshwater hosing experiments using a global climate model indicate that the CO 2 fertilization effect on the terrestrial biosphere offsets productivity decline caused by consequences of AMOC slowdown. Collectively, our results suggest that global biosphere productivity slightly increases in response to AMOC slowdown and accompanying changes.

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DOI https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aea0455